🩻 Week 7, 2025: Quantum Leaps in Investing

How Quantum Startups Are Shaping Tomorrow’s Markets

To Smart Investors,

We’re back with fresh, unbiased data for this week's US stock market.

Super Important Stuff!

1. Today is the last day to get TradingView’s Valentine’s Day sale.

2. I’m working hard on a very comprehensive guide on how to trade, which will be a hub located here. Please be patient.

3. The new version of the Macro Paradox Indicator is almost here.

4. https://dgtvr.com - made big progress here this week. Likely to be operational in 1-2 weeks - a huge game-changer.
   Removed the single point of failure - OpenAI. We are currently using only a new version of DeepSeek R1 distilled by our team.

   You can ask about Tiananmen Square. It will never be perfect, but we have managed to make it reasonable regarding censorship.

   Nothing you input there is stored, monitored, used for training, sold to third parties, or sent to China. I built it, so I can't see what you're discussing there. It's end-to-end encrypted with the server and discarded after the chat has ended. This is why we also have no chat history. Of course, you have to trust me on that.

   DeepSeek R1 is running on our server on US soil.
   I assume that 10x better open-source models will be available in a month, and we will always improve this service.

   "The List" is being worked on, and it's not updated yet.

   DGTVR is also a codename. When it's finished, it will likely have a more catchy name 😅

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The free weekly Podcast is here:

🩻 Week 7, 2025, The Stock Insider Market Recap Podcast

Stuff I Published Last Week:

🩻 The Trading Valentine (A Quant's Love Letter)

Reddit's Sell-Off: Buy the Dip?

🩻 The 13 Most Undervalued Stocks Today

🩻 How Financial Media Became Wall Street’s Tool of Control

As Always In The Sunday Report:

• I have written a detailed recap of last week’s market, my predictions for next week, and an ELI5 (Explain Me Like I’m 5).

• You can also find my typical quant data and the stock insiders’ significant buys/sells with my interpretation.

• Every day, I post summaries of news relevant to Investors. I try to post about 30 minutes before the markets open and cover the last 24 hours of news. On the weekends, I post in the afternoon.

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S&P500 Heatmap over the last week

This graph was generated by our friends at TradingView. Did you know you can get 60% off the Premium plan forever, even though it's not Black Friday?

Heatmap explained

Excel data:

Download

20250216 154453 Stocks Discovery Heatmap

34.6KB ∙ XLSX file

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Our friends at TradingView generated these graphs. Did you know you can get 60% off the Premium plan forever, even though it's not Black Friday?

*Also, the chart above shows precisely why you need the Premium TradingView plan in your life. Plus, being able to monitor 8 graphs simultaneously while running complex indicators on them in parallel. Look into this:

SPY Technical Snapshot

From the Rising Wedge and Pennant formations on both SPY (left) and S&P 500 e-mini futures (right), we see price steadily grinding higher into a narrowing apex around 609–610 (SPY) or 6,140+ (Futures). This pattern typically carries bearish implications if price fails to continue upward momentum, yet wedges can break in either direction when faced with strong market forces.

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1. Chart Patterns & Key Levels

• Rising Wedge / Pennant

  • Upper boundary: ~6,150 on futures / 610 on SPY—possible breakout point.

  • Lower boundary: ~6,120 on futures / 605–606 on SPY—potential breakdown pivot.

• Targets (Pink & Green Zones on Chart)

  • Upside: If price pops above wedge resistance, immediate targets align near 6,170–6,200 (Futures) / ~615–620 (SPY).

  • Downside: A definitive break below wedge support could spark a fast drop toward 6,100 / 6,050 (Futures)or 590–580 (SPY).

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2. Macro Paradox Indicator

• Status: Red > Green. Green line is ticking up, but still below red.

• Interpretation: Historically, green rising forecasts a bullish shift in ~4–7 days, yet the red dominance signals immediate caution until a clear crossover.

• Probability: Accuracy in the 70–80% range suggests this near-term tension resolves bullishly if green continues climbing and overtakes red.

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3. Outlook & Shareholder Implications

• Short-Term Bias: Neutral-to-Bearish if wedge support cracks before green overtakes red. Neutral-to-Bullish if momentum drives a breakout and Macro Paradox’s green line continues up.

• Action:

  1. Monitor wedge boundaries: a closing break either way can ignite rapid follow-through.

  2. Confirm with Macro Paradox: watch for green crossing above red to corroborate upside.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely educational and not financial advice. Always consider multiple factors and your own risk tolerance before making trading decisions.

*Macro Paradox is available for free here

Please send feedback and ideas using comments, PMs, or email. I answer all emails and PMs personally. There is no personal assistant BS here.

And, as always — stay informed — and do your own due diligence,

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May the LORD Bless You and Your Loved Ones,
Jack Roshi, Applied Mathematics at MIT
Lead Quant and Board Member, Sabre Capital Group
Opinions are my own

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Executive Summary of Last Week:

Between February 10 and 14, 2025, U.S. markets experienced marked intraday volatility amid tariff uncertainties, persistent inflation data, and a continued tech–AI rally. Key highlights include:

• Mixed Market Sentiment: Early gains on Feb 10 reversed as tariff announcements and inflation surprises weighed on sentiment, with futures oscillating and yields rising.

• Tariff & Inflation Pressure: President Trump’s 25% steel and aluminum tariffs and January CPI at 0.5% (with core inflation above expectations) fueled uncertainty.

• Tech & AI Surge: Strategic moves in the AI space—Palantir, Salesforce, and investments by Google/SoftBank in quantum computing—reinforced tech’s momentum.

• Earnings & Sector Shifts: Companies like monday.com surged on strong Q4 performance, while mixed earnings from Lyft, DoorDash, and others underscored sector divergence.

• Global & Fixed Income Dynamics: European equities and precious metals outperformed, even as U.S. Treasuries and corporate bond yields reacted to inflation concerns.

Detailed Day-by-Day Analysis:

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