I will keep this page up to date and signify with π’ or π΄ if I was right or wrong and show proof.
I will add new predictions once in a while.
Some of these are obvious, some are wild. These are just my opinions, not financial advice π
Short-term Predictions
(April 2024) NVIDIA crosses $1,000 stock price and announces a stock split. π’ Proof
(April 2024) NVIDIA crosses $3T in market cap. π’ Proof
(April 2024) There will be a strong correction in the US stock market before 1.1.2025. π’
(April 2024) $EIGEN will not be transferable before CZ(Changpeng Zhao) gets out of prison. He gets out around October 1, 2024. π’ Proof 1 / Proof 2 β The EIGEN token became transferable on October 1, 2024. CZ was released on September 27, 2024, thus making my prediction true.
(April 2024) Donald Trump wins the 2024 elections by a landslide. π’
Reasons:
Biden is too senile
Trump constantly repeating βtheyβ shot him in the head and he is still doing better than Biden
Update(October): Democrats will be voting βdefensivelyβ for Kamala.
(April 2024) Zero Fed rate cuts before 1.12.2024. π΄
(May 2024) NVIDIA is the first company to cross $4T market cap ever before 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) NVIDIA becomes the most valuable company on the planet before 1.1.2025. π’ Proof:
(April 2024) At least 1 Fed rate raise before 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) The Japanese economy rebounds(YEN/USD) before 1.1.2025. π’
(April 2024) TikTok will not be banned in the US on 1.1.2025
(April 2024) Iβm bullish onΒ BitcoinΒ and think it will no longer be just a vessel of scams and money laundering because ETF money flows in. Becomes heavily regulated in the US. Still makes no sense (creates more problems than it solves), but Iβm bullish on it. Iβm predicting $100k+ before 1.1.2025. π’
(April 2024) Russia will not detonate a nuclear weapon before 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) The Russo-Ukrainian war will not end before 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) Satoshi Nakamotoβs identity will not be proven before 1.1.2025
(April 2024) No room-temperature stable superconductor before 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) OpenAI will not solve the core technical challenges of superintelligence alignment by 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) Sundar Pichai is CEO of Google on 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) Sam Altman is CEO of OpenAI on 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) OpenAI will announce GPT-5 before 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) Another major US bank failure will happen before 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) Tether is solvent on 1.1.2025.
(April 2024) At least two reputable public health agencies will not claim thatΒ COVID-19,Β more likely than not, originated in a laboratory before 1.1.2025.
Medium-term Predictions
NVIDIA will be the first company to cross the $5T market cap before 1.1.2026.
NVIDIA will go back to where its place is β below top 20 companies in the world before 1.1.2028.
Apple launches AR/VR glasses to significant consumer adoption before 1.1.2026.
Tesla will not develop true FSD before 1.1.2026.
Teslaβs price will plummet below $100 before 1.1.2026.
Coinbase stock price will go below $150 before 1.1.2026.
Moderna Inc stock price to go below $100 before 1.1.2026.
Twitter will try to focus on short-form content (the Vine patent) and fail, compared to other short-form content platforms, before 1.1.2026.
Twitter will be worth approximately less than $10B on 1.1.2026.
No weak AGI created before 1.1.2026.
China will own less than 50% of Taiwan before 1.1.2026.
The EU AI Act will implement regulations on foundational AI models before 1.1.2026.
2 or more countries will introduce wealth tax in Europe before 1.1.2026.
Generative AI deepfakes trigger major national security crisis in the US before 1.1.2026.
Significant breakthrough in quantum computing from Google before 1.1.2026.
Significant breakthrough in AI (non-GPT) from Google before 1.1.2026.
A major cybersecurity incident disrupts a significant portion of the global internet before 1.1.2026. For example, Cloudflare going down for a significant period of time.
At least one country launches a fully digital currency that replaces cash before 1.1.2026.
India surpasses China in GDP growth rate for two consecutive years before 1.1.2026.
A new cheap biologic drug that helps arthritis passes trials successfully before 1.1.2026.
Long-term Predictions
Donald Trump will never go to jail.
No strong AGI before 1.1.2030.
SpaceX will not land humans on Mars before 1.1.2030.
Companies that make B2B robotics sales will perform extremely well in the next years.
Satoshi Nakamotoβs identity will not be proven before 1.1.2030.
Orthomyxoviridae will be the type of microorganism that causes the next pandemic (killing more than 25M people) before 1.1.2030.
Human cloning becomes a significant ethical and political issue before 1.1.2030.
A universal basic income (UBI) pilot program is successfully implemented in a major economy before 1.1.2030.
Men having AI girlfriends becomes a problem in terms of population growth before 1.1.2030.
A major city is built on the ocean, housing tens of thousands of residents before 1.1.2030.
A new material discovery revolutionizes multiple industries, similar to the impact of plastic in the 20th century before 1.1.2030.